The Signal in the Odds: Polymarket's 70% to 31% Plunge Tells a Deeper Story
The numbers hit like a cold front. On Polymarket, the contract predicting the...
Podcast
•
0xHasu
•
2026-07-18
#predictive markets
predictive markets related articles
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$64,015.2
+1.72%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,845.43
+0.75%
SOL
Solana
$74.97
+0.56%
BNB
BNB Chain
$567.6
-0.12%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.09
+0.50%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0723
+0.82%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1663
+4.53%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.61
+1.94%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.8457
-0.75%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.25
+0.75%
Fear & Greed
25
Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202615
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
7x24h Flash News
More >
{{快讯列表(10)}}
{{loop}}
{{/loop}}
{{/快讯列表}}
{{快讯时间}}
{{快讯内容}}
{{快讯标签}}
Trend Tags
Tools
All →Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$64,015.2
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,845.43
1
Solana
SOL
$74.97
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$567.6
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.09
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0723
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1663
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.61
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8457
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.25
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x935d...fcf8
2m ago
In
924 ETH
🔴
0x6e31...80c1
2m ago
Out
1,056,774 USDT
🔴
0x48e1...1c79
12h ago
Out
38,739 SOL
💡 Smart Money
0x057b...932e
Top DeFi Miner
-$2.6M
93%
0x804a...dcbd
Market Maker
+$3.9M
74%
0x075f...5dba
Market Maker
+$4.2M
61%